Hawaii’s Buy-Side Real Estate Market: Q1 2026 Analysis

Hawaii Market Snapshot: Q1 2026

Hawaii’s single-family market followed an unusual trajectory in the first quarter of 2026, opening above the 6-month balanced-market benchmark, rising further above it in February, then dropping sharply below it by March. Active inventory held relatively stable, moving from 2,578 homes in January to 2,625 in February before declining to 2,544 in March. Months of supply started at 6.4 in January, rose to 7.1 in February, then fell sharply to 4.7 in March, crossing below the 6-month threshold for the first time in the quarter. The transition from buyer-favorable to seller-favorable territory within a single quarter gives Hawaii one of the most distinct supply arcs in this series.

Median sale prices rose steadily throughout the quarter. The median opened at $969,600 in January, crossed $1 million in February at $1,014,900, and held above that level at $1,024,900 in March, a 5.7 percent gain across three months. Days on market remained elevated throughout, declining from 105 days in January to 96 in February and 94 in March. Hawaii’s high days-on-market figures reflect the deliberate pace of a low-volume, high-value market where properties attract buyers from a smaller and more selective pool.

Year-over-year comparisons show that Hawaii’s Q1 2026 ended significantly tighter than Q1 2025. January 2026 supply of 6.4 months was 0.9 months looser than January 2025’s 5.5, and February’s 7.1 months was marginally above Q1 2025’s 7.0. The quarter’s reversal was sharpest at the end: March 2026 supply of 4.7 months was 1.4 months below March 2025’s 6.1, the largest single-month year-over-year tightening in this series. Inventory declined 7.3 percent year-over-year by March, while the median sale price rose 7.7 percent from $951,200 to $1,024,900. Days on market were 6 days longer year-over-year in March. The quarter closed with tighter supply, fewer homes available, and meaningfully higher prices than the same period a year earlier.

Hawaii’s Top 25 Buyer’s Agents and Teams: Q1 2026 Rankings

Agent Pronto/CINC has ranked Hawaii’s top 25 buyer’s agents and teams based on total transaction volume in Q1 2026. This proprietary buy-side data reveals both high-volume operators and luxury specialists who dominate Hawaii’s diverse real estate market.

What the Data Shows

Hawaii’s top 25 is anchored by luxury specialization. Seventeen of the 25 agents and teams carry median prices at or above $2 million, two fall between $1 million and $2 million, five operate between $500,000 and $1 million, and one falls below $500,000. James A Schneider leads the rankings with 4 closings at a $22.7 million median for $94.4 million in total volume, the highest single-agent total sold figure in this series. Rick Oliver (rank 4, 1 closing, $19.0 million median) and Daisuke ‘Kai’ Ioh (rank 7, 1 closing, $16.2 million median) represent the single-transaction extreme, where one premium closing generates enough dollar volume to place an agent in the top 10 statewide. Kazuki Nakamura (rank 11, 2 closings, $6.6 million median) and Maria Kawananakoa (rank 13, 2 closings, $6.4 million median) follow the double-transaction pattern that appears frequently across Hawaii’s luxury tier.

A smaller cohort reaches the rankings through comparatively higher transaction counts. Kendra B Atienza ranks 17th with 20 closings at a $525,000 median for $11.9 million in total volume, the highest closing count in the state. Ruth Manzano Javier (rank 10, 15 closings, $995,000 median) and Robyn Curletti (rank 22, 13 closings, $550,000 median) follow the same higher-frequency approach. Max Blair (rank 2, 11 closings, $615,000 median) is the standout in this cohort, reaching the second-highest total in the state through transaction volume at sub-million medians rather than the ultra-luxury single closings that define most of the list’s top positions.

Hawaii’s top 25 spans median prices from $415,000 to $22.7 million and closing counts from 1 to 20. The dollar-volume structure strongly favors luxury specialists: James Schneider’s $94.4 million total is more than three times the second-ranked agent’s $29.1 million, a gap driven by 4 closings at an average of over $20 million each. The list reflects a market where individual transaction values span an extraordinary range, and where a single ultra-luxury closing can outweigh a full quarter of mid-market production by a wide margin.

Conclusion

Hawaii’s first quarter of 2026 delivered the sharpest single-month year-over-year supply tightening in this series, with March supply falling 1.4 months below Q1 2025 as inventory declined 7.3 percent and the median sale price rose 7.7 percent to $1,024,900. The top 25 buyer’s agents and teams closed 124 transactions across median prices spanning $415,000 to $22.7 million. The list is defined by luxury production at a scale that stands apart from every other state in this series, with the top agent’s $94.4 million quarterly total reflecting the depth and pricing of Hawaii’s unique high-value residential market.

Data Sources:

Market Data: Provided by Redfin, a national real estate brokerage.

Buy-Side Transaction Data: Provided exclusively by Agent Pronto/CINC, the industry's leading source for buyer's agent and team performance intelligence. Agent Pronto/CINC aggregates buy-side transaction data nationwide to deliver comprehensive rankings and performance metrics.

Disclaimer: While Agent Pronto/CINC makes every effort to ensure data accuracy, rankings are based on available transaction records and may not capture all buy-side activity. Agents or teams not included in these rankings may have comparable or superior performance not reflected in our data sources.

Analysis Period: January 2026 - March 2026