Virginia’s Buy-Side Real Estate Market: Q1 2026 Analysis

Agent Pronto/CINC Q1 2026 Buy-Side Rankings and Analysis

By Shawn Craig

7 minute read

Richmond, VA skyline

Virginia Market Snapshot: Q1 2026

Virginia's single-family market operated deep into seller-favorable territory across the first quarter of 2026. Active inventory opened January at 14,572 homes, held essentially flat in February at 14,574, and rose to 15,033 in March, a 3.2 percent increase across the quarter. Months of supply moved in the opposite direction. The reading opened at 3.2 months in January, eased to 2.9 in February, and tightened to 2.4 in March. All three months sat more than three full months below the 6-month balanced-market benchmark, with the quarter ending three and a half months under that threshold.

Median sale prices climbed each month of the quarter. The statewide median opened January at $440,300, rose to $465,900 in February, and reached $487,800 in March, a 10.8 percent gain across three months. Days on market compressed sharply as the quarter progressed. The reading opened at 56 days in January, eased to 50 in February, and reached 42 in March, a 14-day reduction over the quarter.

Year-over-year context shows a market that tracked closely against the prior year despite the intra-quarter price climb. January 2026 inventory of 14,572 homes was 11.8 percent above January 2025, with supply running 0.3 months looser at 3.2 months versus 2.9. By March, inventory was 0.3 percent above the prior-year reading of 14,986 homes, while months of supply landed at 2.4, one-tenth of a month below March 2025's 2.5. Days on market in March ran six days longer at 42 versus 36. The median price of $487,800 in March 2026 ran 0.9 percent above March 2025, essentially flat year-over-year despite the 10.8 percent climb within Q1 2026, since Q1 2025 followed a similar within-quarter trajectory.

Virginia · Market Snapshot

Supply remained well below balanced levels

Months of supply, Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025

Q1 2026 Q1 2025
0 mo 2 mo 4 mo Balanced market 6-month threshold 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.4 2.5 Jan Feb Mar

March 2026 · Year-over-year

Active Inventory 15,033 +0.3%
Median Sale Price $488K +0.9%
Months of Supply 2.4 -0.1 months
Median Days on Market 42 +6 days
Figure 1: Virginia's Q1 2026 supply tracked closely against Q1 2025 across all three months, with both quarters operating more than three full months below the 6-month balanced-market threshold and ending within a tenth of a month of each other.

Virginia's Top 25 Buyer's Agents and Teams: Q1 2026 Rankings

Agent Pronto/CINC has ranked Virginia's top 25 buyer's agents and teams based on total transaction volume in Q1 2026. This proprietary buy-side data reveals both high-volume operators and luxury specialists who dominate Virginia's diverse real estate market.

Rank

Agent/Team Name

Closings Q1 2026

Total Sold Q1 2026

Median Price Q1 2026

1

Blake Davenport

51

$38.8M

$675K

2

Michael W Rankin

1

$19.8M

$19.8M

3

Mercy F Lugo-Struthers

30

$16.7M

$520K

4

Daan De Raedt

19

$16.1M

$780K

5

Christopher Craddock

22

$15.4M

$720K

6

Kim Tierney

20

$14.4M

$692K

7

Grayson Hoffman

8

$14.3M

$1.6M

8

Rong Ma

15

$13.8M

$652K

9

Theodore Adamstein

1

$13.5M

$13.5M

10

Carolyn A Young

23

$12.8M

$555K

11

Paul Thistle

16

$12.8M

$821K

12

Robert E Wittman

22

$12.7M

$404K

13

Laura C Mensing

5

$12.3M

$2.6M

14

Jason Cheperdak

15

$12.3M

$760K

15

Keri K Shull

13

$12.1M

$599K

16

Wetherly C Barker Hemeon

1

$11.0M

$11.0M

17

Phyllis G Patterson

7

$10.7M

$960K

18

Viktorija Piano

11

$10.4M

$510K

19

Kelly A Stock Bacon

6

$10.2M

$1.2M

20

John Coles

2

$10.0M

$5.0M

21

Nikki Lagouros

14

$9.7M

$640K

22

Elizabeth H Lucchesi

6

$9.5M

$1.5M

23

Emma Maxine Killian

7

$9.5M

$1.2M

24

Shannon Lynn Bray

11

$9.5M

$810K

25

Robert T Ferguson Jr.

11

$9.1M

$730K

What the Data Shows

Virginia's top 25 contains an unusually broad range of paths to the top. One agent operates with a median below $500,000, fifteen sit between $500,000 and $1 million, five fall between $1 million and $3 million, and four carry medians at or above $5 million. Blake Davenport leads the rankings with 51 closings at a $675,000 median, generating $38.8 million in total volume, the highest in the state and the highest closing count in the top 25. Mercy F Lugo-Struthers ranks third with 30 closings at a $520,000 median for $16.7 million, and Daan De Raedt, Christopher Craddock, and Kim Tierney follow at ranks four, five, and six with 19, 22, and 20 closings at medians between $692,000 and $780,000.

A different model appears at unusual scale in the rankings. Michael W Rankin ranks second overall with a single $19.8 million closing. Theodore Adamstein ranks ninth with one closing at $13.5 million, Wetherly C Barker Hemeon ranks sixteenth with one closing at $11 million, and John Coles occupies rank twenty with two closings at a $5,000,200 median for $10 million in total. Below these single-deal entries, Laura C Mensing reaches rank thirteen with five closings at a $2,625,000 median for $12.3 million. These agents and teams reached the rankings through transactions priced well above the statewide median, and their presence reflects the dollar-volume ranking bias toward luxury work.

The breadth of price points in Virginia's top 25 spans an unusually wide range. Median prices reach from $403,500 to $19,800,000, and closing counts span from one to 51. Because the rankings are ordered by total sold dollar volume, agents and teams in Virginia reach the list through three distinct paths: high transaction counts at mid-market price points above the statewide median of $487,800, moderate counts at upper-mid-market prices between $700,000 and $1 million, or single-digit counts at substantially higher per-transaction values up to $19.8 million. All three paths are well-represented in the rankings.

Conclusion

Virginia's first quarter of 2026 saw supply tighten from 3.2 months to 2.4, inventory rise 3.2 percent, and the median sale price climb 10.8 percent across the quarter to $487,800. The quarter tracked closely against Q1 2025 in supply terms, with March supply landing one-tenth of a month below the prior year and median prices running only 0.9 percent above March 2025. Within this environment, the top 25 buyer's agents and teams closed 337 transactions across median prices ranging from $403,500 to $19,800,000. The list spans high-volume operators, mid-market specialists, and a notable ultra-luxury cohort that includes three single-closing entries above $10 million.


Data Sources:

Market Data: Provided by Redfin, a national real estate brokerage.

Buy-Side Transaction Data: Provided exclusively by Agent Pronto/CINC, the industry's leading source for buyer's agent and team performance intelligence. Agent Pronto/CINC aggregates buy-side transaction data nationwide to deliver comprehensive rankings and performance metrics.

Disclaimer: While Agent Pronto/CINC makes every effort to ensure data accuracy, rankings are based on available transaction records and may not capture all buy-side activity. Agents or teams not included in these rankings may have comparable or superior performance not reflected in our data sources.

Analysis Period: January 2026 - March 2026

Photo of the article’s author, Shawn Craig

About the Author

With over 18 years in real estate and 25 years in sales and marketing, Shawn Craig brings a performance-driven approach to growth. As Head of Marketing at CINC, he oversees demand generation, brand strategy, and marketing analytics to optimize pipeline, revenue, and client retention.